0 copenhagen economics_-_uso,_considerations_and_next_steps_final

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  documento presentato al workshop di Bucarest per il servizio universale
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  • 1. ERGP Workshop - Bucharest, 19/11/2014 Dr. Bruno Basalisco USO: Considerations and next steps
  • 2. USO: Considerations and next steps How to spend 5 mins well… 2 1. Setting the scene o Why are we all looking at the USO? 2. Our initial considerations o Reduce the scope of the USO o Increase the flexibility for USPs o (if necessary) Provide targeted support to vulnerable users who cannot afford basic postal services 3. Next steps o Ask the right questions o Ask the right people o Enable operators’ future innovations Plan of the presentation
  • 3. USO: Considerations and next steps Why are we all looking at the USO? 3 Major conflict The USO becomes more and more expensive as volumes decline Setting the scene: 1 key conflict + 3 shifting fault lines
  • 4. USO: Considerations and next steps Volumes trends 4 Source: Postnord (2014), The Leading Nordic Communications and Logistics Company. Presentation held by President and Group CEO Håkan Ericsson at PostEXPO 2014, 23 September, 2014
  • 5. USO: Considerations and next steps Behavioural change: Most communication is done digitally 5 2004 2013 36% 72% Source: Eurostat Information Society Database. EU27, % of individuals , frequency of internet access: at least once a week
  • 6. USO: Considerations and next steps Shifting tectonic plates in postal world lead to 3 fault lines 1. Changing needs 2. Public policy pulling in opposite directions 3. Affordability: historic concerns but no more general concerns Setting the scene: 1 key conflict + 3 shifting fault lines The generational clash The USO cost-benefit balance changes Save public spend via e-government A still broad USO Need for change?
  • 7. USO: Considerations and next steps Are letters less affordable than ice cream? 7 Household spend, 2010 EU average Ice cream: €65 Postal: €35
  • 8. USO: Considerations and next steps What actions could be considered? 8 2 key aims 1. Reduce cost and make service provision sustainable, efficient and targeted to the large majority of users 2. Ensure basic services for vulnerable users in a less costly way Key options on the table
  • 9. USO: Considerations and next steps What actions could be considered? 9 3 key actions 1. Reduce the scope of the USO 2. Increase the flexibility for USPs 3. (if necessary) Provide targeted support to vulnerable users who cannot afford basic postal services Key options on the table
  • 10. USO: Considerations and next steps Next steps 10 A cost benefit framework  focus on needs and costs 1. Needs: Ask the right questions 2. Needs: Ask the right people 3. Costs: enable operators’ future innovations What more do we need to know?... A lot
  • 11. USO: Considerations and next steps 11 Bruno Basalisco bb@copenhageneconomics.com Copenhagen Economics A/S Sankt Annæ Plads 13 DK-1250 Copenhagen K copenhageneconomics.com
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